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【XM Forex】--Weekly Forex Forecast – S&P 500 Index, Silver, Gold,
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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Forex】--Weekly Forex Forecast – S&P 500 Index, Silver, Gold,". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Fundamental Analysis & Market Sentiment
I wrote on 24th August that the best trades for the week would be:
Last week saw low volatility in markets as is typical during the month of August, especially the end of the month when many market participants are on holiday and liquidity thins out.
A summary of last week’s important data:
There was less directional volatility than has been usual over recent weeks. A quiet market got even quieter.
There were record highs in Silver and in the US S&P 500 stock market index. The US economy is seen as a bit stronger upon the higher GDP data, with some suggestions that the number may have even been boosted by Trump’s recent tariffs. We might see US stock indices advancing even further, or begin a serious correction if the Fed is increasingly seen as late on rate cuts.
The Week Ahead: 1st – 5th September
The www.xmbonus.coming week will almost certainly be busier, both in terms of high impact data points and in terms of liquidity and volatility. September sometimes brings major reversals and the start of new trends.
This week’s important data points, in order of likely importance, are:
Monthly Forecast September 2025
For the month of August 2025, I forecasted that the EUR/USD currency pair would rise in value.
I abandoned my forecast at a profit earlier in the month.
For the month of September 2025, I forecast that the EUR/USD currency pair will rise in value if we get a daily close above $1.1806.
Weekly Forecast 25th August 2025
I made no weekly forecast last week.
There were no unusually large price movements in currency crosses last week, so I have no weekly forecast this week.
The Australian was the strongest major currency last week, while the Euro was the weakest, although the overall directional movement was quite small. Volatility was low last week, with only one of the most important Forex currency pairs and crosses changing in value by more than 1%. Next week’s volatility is likely to increase as we start the new month of September and many of the world’s markets return to normal volumes after what tends to be a holiday month in August.
Monday is a public holiday in the USA and Canada.
You can trade these forecasts in a real or demo Forex brokerage account.
Technical Analysis
Key Support/Resistance Levels for Popular Pairs
US Dollar Index
Last week, the US Dollar Index again printed a bearish pin bar which was also an inside bar, so this is bearish price action, and in line with the long-term bearish trend. Lower prices in the US Dollar look likely technically, however the price action is congested within its current area which may mean there is not much further downside to www.xmbonus.come.
It still seems the Fed is talking more hawkish than many in the market would like. The market is now expecting a rate but in September, overwhelmingly, but seeing only a 48% of a further 0.25% cut at the next FOMC meeting. So sentiment might be working against the trend and could be another factor in limiting downside.
Nevertheless, I think it is wise to trade with the long-term trend and short-term price action right now, so trades short and not long of the US Dollar will probably be a good idea over the www.xmbonus.coming week.
S&P 500 Index
The S&P 500 Index did not move much last week, and closed almost unchanged on the week, ending Friday just slightly below the weekly open, although it did make a new all-time high price.
The weekly candlestick is a small doji, which usually signifies indecision. This could be bullish or bearish.
The US stock market has risen by a lot in recent weeks, and it is not clear what will happen next week as the summer season ends and traders get back to their desks. The stronger than expected US Advance GDP of 3.3% annualized was enough to send the market higher, as initial signs are that Trump’s tariffs are not (yet) damaging economic growth.
For this reason, I would want to see a daily close above 6,515 which takes out the record high and convincingly ends the day above the big round number at 6,500 before entering a long trade, although last week’s long trade did technically set up at Friday’s close.
XAG/USD
The two major precious metals, Silver and Gold, arguably made bullish breakouts from their medium-term consolidation ranges, although only Silver made a new record high.
The price action is Silver looks notably bullish, although it is also worth noting that the big round number just ahead of the high at $40 was not yet tested.
Silver looks like a stronger buy than Gold, so I would enter a long trade as the market opens this week without any qualification. It is also worth noting technically that the price is making a bullish breakout from an ascending linear regression channel, which is another bullish sign.
Very cautious traders might want to wait for a daily close above $40 before entering long, or to start now with a smaller than usual position size.
XAU/USD
Much of what I wrote about Silver above can also be applied to Gold. However, Silver looks a little more bullish technically as Gold has not made a new record high, which is confluent with a major round number at $3,500.
Nevertheless, the weekly chart below does show a persistent long-term bullish trend, and a very solid and bullish looking consolidation pattern building over recent weeks, which could be a reason to have more faith in this partial breakout.
More aggressive traders might want to enter a long position right away. More conservative traders might wait for a daily New York close decisively above $3,500 for spot Gold.
Bottom Line
I see the best trades this week as:
The above content is all about "【XM Forex】--Weekly Forex Forecast – S&P 500 Index, Silver, Gold,", which is carefully www.xmbonus.compiled and edited by XM Forex editor. I hope it will be helpful for your trading! Thank you for your support!
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